A True Early Warning or Simply Chicken Little? The researchers found that when an asset has a price run-up of 100% or more in a two-year period, the probability of a crash becomes 50%. When focusing on run-ups of at least 150%, that probability jumps to 80%. Higher than that and a crash is a near-certainty. Bitcoin’s run-up over the last two years is nearly 2,500%.
Cyber Currency….Huh? Naysayers argue that as a cyber currency, its value exists only in the ether and if the lights get turned off so does your wealth.